临床肿瘤学杂志

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pT2-3N0-1M0期胸段食管鳞癌根治术患者的预后分析

刘艳虎1,薛栋1,李娟2,谈振国1   

  1. 1 南京医科大学第二附属医院普胸外科 2 南京医科大学第二附属医院肿瘤内科
  • 收稿日期:2017-07-15 修回日期:2017-09-16 出版日期:2017-11-30 发布日期:2018-06-06
  • 通讯作者: 薛栋

Prognostic analysis of thoracic esophageal carcinoma patients with stage pT2-3N0-1M0 after surgery

LIU Yanhu, XUE Dong, LI Juan, TAN Zhenguo.   

  1. Department of General Thoracic Surgery, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University
  • Received:2017-07-15 Revised:2017-09-16 Online:2017-11-30 Published:2018-06-06
  • Contact: XUE Dong

摘要: 目的 探讨pT2-3N0-1M0期胸段食管鳞癌患者根治术后的远期生存情况及其影响因素。
方法收集南京医科大学第二附属医院2011年1月至2014年3月经手术病理证实的pT2-3N0-1M0期胸段食管鳞癌127例初治患者的临床及随访资料。采用单因素KaplanMeier法和多因素Cox风险比例回归模型分析127例接受根治手术患者的总生存期(OS)及其影响因素,应用列线图模型实现对患者个体1、3、5年生存率的数值预估。结果 127例患者术后的1、3、5年生存率分别为81.8%、54.3%、38.4%,中位OS为40.0个月(95%CI:32.285~47.715个月)。Cox多因素分析显示,pT分期(pT2、pT3)、pN分期(pN0、pN1)、有无脉管瘤栓、肿瘤直径(≤3 cm、>3 cm)是影响根治切除术后OS的独立因素,pT3、pN1、有脉管瘤栓和肿瘤直径>3 cm分别较对应项的生存期缩短,风险倍数分别为2.207、2.157、1.758和1.607倍(均P<0.05)。构建的列线图模型能够准确预测pT2-3N0-1M0期胸段食管鳞癌个体根治术后的生存率。结论 pT2-3N0-1M0期胸段食管鳞癌患者根治术后的1、3、5年生存率明显下降,预后差,其生存预后与浸润深度、淋巴结转移、脉管瘤栓、肿瘤直径4个因素密切相关,值得临床继续深入研究。

Abstract: Objective To investigate the survival and its related factors of the patients with pathological stage pT2-3N0-1M0 thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after resection. Methods From January 2011 to March 2014 in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, 127 patients with pathological stage pT2-3N0-1M0 thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after resection were enrolled. KaplanMeier analysis and Cox multivariate regression analysis were used to evaluate the postoperative survival and its related factors. Nomogram model was applied to implement for 1, 3, 5year survival rate of individual patients.
ResultsUntil the end of followup, the 1, 3, 5year survival rates and median overall survival (OS) were 81.8%, 54.3%, 38.4% and 40.0 months(95%CI:32.285-47.715), respectively. Cox multivariate analysis revealed that stage pT(pT2 and pT3), pN(pN0 and pN1), intravascular cancer embolus and tumor diameter(≤3 cm and>3 cm)were the independent factors for OS, risk ratios of pT3, pN1, intravascular cancer embolus and tumor diameter>3 cm were 2.207, 2.157, 1.758 and 1.607(P<0.05). Nomogram model could accurately predict the survival rate of pathological stage pT2-3N0-1M0 thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Conclusion The survival of thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients with stage pT2-3N0-1M0 after radical treatment shows significantly poor prognosis, the long-term survival of which is closely related to the depth of infiltration, lymph node metastasis, intravascular cancer embolus and tumor diameter, which is worthy of further study.

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